UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader
Wednesday, September 4, 2013·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil·11 fights
Model: 3/11(27%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 68%32% Bader
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +117(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Teixeira)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacare Souza won by KO/TKO (R1)
Souza 29%71% Okami
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -277(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Okami)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Souza)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Benavidez 63%37% Formiga
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +205(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Benavidez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Formiga)
LightweightMISS
Piotr Hallmann won by Submission (R2)
Hallmann 42%58% Trinaldo
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -290(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Trinaldo)
MiddleweightMISS
Rafael Natal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Natal 40%60% Troeng
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +35(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Troeng)
FlyweightMISS
Ali Bagautinov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bagautinov 39%61% Vinicius
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Vinicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Vinicius)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vinicius)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Edimilson Souza won by Decision - Split (R3)
Souza 45%55% Arantes
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -215(favors Arantes)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Arantes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Arantes)
BantamweightHIT
Lucas Martins won by Submission (R1)
Martins 58%42% Hernandez
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +54(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Martins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hernandez)
WelterweightMISS
Elias Silverio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silverio 34%66% Zeferino
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +76(favors Silverio)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Zeferino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Zeferino)
WelterweightMISS
Ivan Jorge won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jorge 45%55% Wisniewski
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +262(favors Jorge)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Wisniewski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Wisniewski)
WelterweightMISS
Sean Spencer won by Decision - Split (R3)
Spencer 45%55% Villefort
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -11(favors Villefort)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Villefort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Villefort)