UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Saturday, August 3, 2013·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by KO/TKO (R4)
Aldo 63%37% Jung
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Jung)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 68%32% Machida
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -225(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Davis)
MiddleweightHIT
Cezar Ferreira won by Submission (R1)
Ferreira 64%36% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Leites 62%38% Watson
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Watson)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Leites)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lineker 87%13% Maria
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +132(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.7(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Maria)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Anthony Perosh won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perosh 55%45% Magalhaes
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -41(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Perosh)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Amanda Nunes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nunes 48%52% Gaff
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +191(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Gaff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gaff)
WelterweightMISS
Sergio Moraes won by Submission (R1)
Moraes 36%64% Magny
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -31(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Magny)
FlyweightHIT
Ian McCall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCall 69%31% Santos
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +62(favors McCall)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors McCall)
Early Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 74%26% Clopton
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +257(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Clopton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Clopton)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Francimar Barroso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barroso 46%54% Oliveira
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +94(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightHIT
Viscardi Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 55%45% Marunde
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +191(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Marunde)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Marunde)