UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
Saturday, August 3, 2013·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightHIT
Jose Aldo won by KO/TKO (R4)
Aldo 54%46% Jung
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Aldo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Jung)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Jung)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 68%32% Machida
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -234(favors Machida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Davis)
MiddleweightHIT
Cezar Ferreira won by Submission (R1)
Ferreira 61%39% Santos
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Leites 57%43% Watson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Leites)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Watson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Leites)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lineker 84%16% Maria
STRONG
→Elo gap: +75(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.7(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Maria)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Anthony Perosh won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perosh 43%57% Magalhaes
LEAN
→Elo gap: -17(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Perosh)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Amanda Nunes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nunes 48%52% Gaff
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +128(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Gaff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gaff)
WelterweightMISS
Sergio Moraes won by Submission (R1)
Moraes 34%66% Magny
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Magny)
FlyweightHIT
Ian McCall won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCall 68%32% Santos
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +18(favors McCall)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors McCall)
FeatherweightHIT
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 70%30% Clopton
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +188(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Clopton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Clopton)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Francimar Barroso won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barroso 54%46% Oliveira
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +94(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
WelterweightHIT
Viscardi Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 56%44% Marunde
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Marunde)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Marunde)