UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Saturday, May 25, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 9/12(75%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Velasquez 83%17% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +219(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.4(favors Velasquez)
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Santos 72%28% Hunt
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +113(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Hunt)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R1)
Teixeira 70%30% Huna
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Teixeira)
LightweightHIT
TJ Grant won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grant 51%49% Maynard
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Maynard)
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerrone 70%30% Noons
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +443(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Cerrone)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pyle 30%70% Story
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Story)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Bermudez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Bermudez 50%50% Holloway
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Bermudez)
WelterweightMISS
Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO (R3)
Whittaker 46%54% Smith
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.0(favors Smith)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 57%43% Trujillo
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +360(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Trujillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Trujillo)
Early Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Stephen Thompson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thompson 28%72% Burrell
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -101(favors Burrell)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Burrell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Burrell)
BantamweightHIT
George Roop won by KO/TKO (R2)
Roop 59%41% Bowles
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -78(favors Bowles)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Bowles)
FeatherweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stephens 75%25% Payan
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +129(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Stephens)