UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 57%43% Rockhold
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +614(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Belfort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rockhold)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacare Souza won by Submission (R1)
Souza 37%63% Camozzi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -285(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Camozzi)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 77%23% Dunham
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Anjos)
MiddleweightHIT
Rafael Natal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Natal 78%22% Zeferino
STRONG
→Elo gap: +106(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Natal)
FeatherweightHIT
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 54%46% Dias
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Lentz)
LightweightMISS
Francisco Trinaldo won by Submission (R1)
Trinaldo 45%55% Rio
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +54(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Rio)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R2)
Tibau 65%35% Cholish
LEAN
→Elo gap: +174(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Cholish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tibau)
WelterweightHIT
Paulo Thiago won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thiago 71%29% Prazeres
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -34(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Thiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Thiago)
BantamweightHIT
Iuri Alcantara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alcantara 58%42% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +13(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Alcantara)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Fabio Maldonado won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maldonado 66%34% Hollett
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -28(favors Hollett)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Maldonado)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lineker 54%46% Gashimov
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +15(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.5(favors Gashimov)
FlyweightMISS
Jussier Formiga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Formiga 47%53% Cariaso
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -124(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Cariaso)
LightweightMISS
Lucas Martins won by KO/TKO (R3)
Martins 39%61% Larsen
LEAN
→Elo gap: +50(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Larsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Larsen)