UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil·13 fights
Model: 10/13(77%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 62%38% Rockhold
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +628(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Belfort)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rockhold)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacare Souza won by Submission (R1)
Souza 32%68% Camozzi
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -283(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Camozzi)
LightweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 69%31% Dunham
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +76(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Anjos)
MiddleweightHIT
Rafael Natal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Natal 76%24% Zeferino
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +150(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Natal)
FeatherweightMISS
Nik Lentz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lentz 45%55% Dias
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Lentz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Lentz)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Trinaldo won by Submission (R1)
Trinaldo 52%48% Rio
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +78(favors Trinaldo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Rio)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R2)
Tibau 69%31% Cholish
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +206(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Cholish)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tibau)
WelterweightHIT
Paulo Thiago won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thiago 62%38% Prazeres
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +79(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Thiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Thiago)
BantamweightHIT
Iuri Alcantara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alcantara 62%38% Santos
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -16(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Alcantara)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Fabio Maldonado won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maldonado 67%33% Hollett
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -45(favors Hollett)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Maldonado)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lineker 54%46% Gashimov
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -13(favors Gashimov)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.5(favors Gashimov)
FlyweightMISS
Jussier Formiga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Formiga 41%59% Cariaso
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -190(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Cariaso)
LightweightHIT
Lucas Martins won by KO/TKO (R3)
Martins 55%45% Larsen
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +116(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Larsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Larsen)