The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Saturday, April 13, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·12 fights
Model: 7/12(58%)
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Main Card
BantamweightHIT
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R4)
Faber 56%44% Jorgensen
Over/UnderOver 71%
Under 29%Over 71%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +391(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Jorgensen)
MiddleweightHIT
Kelvin Gastelum won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gastelum 55%45% Hall
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hall)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Cat Zingano won by KO/TKO (R3)
Zingano 44%56% Tate
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tate)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tate)
HeavyweightMISS
Travis Browne won by KO/TKO (R1)
Browne 48%52% Gonzaga
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +12(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Gonzaga)
MiddleweightHIT
Robert McDaniel won by Submission (R3)
McDaniel 51%49% Smith
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
MiddleweightHIT
Josh Samman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Samman 59%41% Casey
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Casey)
Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Luke Barnatt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barnatt 48%52% Hart
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hart)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hart)
MiddleweightMISS
Dylan Andrews won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrews 40%60% Quinlan
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Quinlan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Quinlan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Quinlan)
MiddleweightHIT
Clint Hester won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hester 54%46% Marunde
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Marunde)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Marunde)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Marunde)
FeatherweightHIT
Cole Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 63%37% Palaszewski
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +100(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miller)
FeatherweightHIT
Maximo Blanco won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blanco 55%45% Sicilia
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -31(favors Sicilia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sicilia)
FeatherweightMISS
Daniel Pineda won by Submission (R1)
Pineda 36%64% Lawrence
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -145(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Pineda)