UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Saturday, February 2, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 4/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightMISS
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 44%56% Edgar
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -169(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rogerio Nogueira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nogueira 24%76% Evans
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -282(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Evans)
HeavyweightMISS
Antonio Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 46%54% Overeem
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Overeem)
WelterweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 54%46% Fitch
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Fitch)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benavidez 61%39% McCall
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +203(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors McCall)
LightweightMISS
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dunham 48%52% Tibau
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -82(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Tibau)
WelterweightHIT
Tyron Woodley won by KO/TKO (R1)
Woodley 56%44% Hieron
LEAN
→Elo gap: +191(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Hieron)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.9(favors Hieron)
LightweightMISS
King Green won by Submission (R3)
Green 45%55% Volkmann
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -194(favors Volkmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Volkmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Volkmann)
LightweightMISS
Isaac Vallie-Flagg won by Decision - Split (R3)
Vallie-Flagg 36%64% Edwards
LEAN
→Elo gap: -229(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Edwards)
BantamweightMISS
Dustin Kimura won by Submission (R3)
Kimura 50%50% Camus
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -69(favors Camus)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Camus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Camus)
BantamweightHIT
Francisco Rivera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivera 60%40% Figueroa
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Figueroa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Figueroa)