UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Saturday, February 2, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 5/11(45%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightMISS
Jose Aldo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Aldo 43%57% Edgar
Over/UnderOver 74%
Under 26%Over 74%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -172(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rogerio Nogueira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nogueira 17%83% Evans
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -297(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Nogueira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Evans)
HeavyweightHIT
Antonio Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 58%42% Overeem
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Overeem)
WelterweightMISS
Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 43%57% Fitch
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Fitch)
FlyweightHIT
Joseph Benavidez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Benavidez 70%30% McCall
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +243(favors Benavidez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors McCall)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Evan Dunham won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dunham 45%55% Tibau
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Tibau)
WelterweightHIT
Tyron Woodley won by KO/TKO (R1)
Woodley 53%47% Hieron
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +240(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Hieron)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.9(favors Hieron)
LightweightMISS
King Green won by Submission (R3)
Green 42%58% Volkmann
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -247(favors Volkmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Volkmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Volkmann)
LightweightMISS
Isaac Vallie-Flagg won by Decision - Split (R3)
Vallie-Flagg 44%56% Edwards
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -248(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Edwards)
Early Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Dustin Kimura won by Submission (R3)
Kimura 52%48% Camus
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -100(favors Camus)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Camus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Camus)
BantamweightHIT
Francisco Rivera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivera 55%45% Figueroa
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -133(favors Figueroa)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Figueroa)