UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia·10 fights
Model: 4/9(44%)
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Main Card
LightweightHIT
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pearson 60%40% Sotiropoulos
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -209(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Pearson)
WelterweightMISS
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 48%52% Scott
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Scott)
LightweightHIT
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 53%47% Fletcher
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Fletcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Fletcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fletcher)
MiddleweightMISS
Hector Lombard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lombard 28%72% Palhares
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -340(favors Palhares)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Palhares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lombard)
FeatherweightHIT
Chad Mendes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mendes 75%25% Meza
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +276(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Mendes)
Light Heavyweight
Pokrajac 39%61% Beltran
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Beltran)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Beltran)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierce 45%55% Baczynski
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pierce)
WelterweightMISS
Ben Alloway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alloway 39%61% Rodriguez
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
LightweightMISS
Mike Wilkinson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wilkinson 39%61% Loughnane
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Loughnane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Loughnane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Loughnane)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Cody Donovan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Donovan 51%49% Penner
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +115(favors Donovan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Penner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Penner)