UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
Saturday, December 8, 2012·Seattle, Washington, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Benson Henderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Henderson 66%34% Diaz
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Henderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Gustafsson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gustafsson 66%34% Rua
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Gustafsson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Rua)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
MacDonald 80%20% Penn
STRONG
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors MacDonald)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 65%35% Swick
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Brown)
LightweightMISS
Yves Edwards won by KO/TKO (R1)
Edwards 44%56% Stephens
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Stephens)
BantamweightHIT
Raphael Assuncao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Assuncao 50%50% Easton
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -125(favors Easton)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Assuncao)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nijem 75%25% Proctor
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Proctor)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Proctor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Nijem)
LightweightHIT
Daron Cruickshank won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cruickshank 68%32% Martinez
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +91(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Cruickshank)
LightweightMISS
Abel Trujillo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Trujillo 49%51% LeVesseur
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +62(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors LeVesseur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors LeVesseur)
FeatherweightHIT
Dennis Siver won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siver 69%31% Phan
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +385(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Phan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Siver)
BantamweightHIT
Scott Jorgensen won by Submission (R1)
Jorgensen 64%36% Albert
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Albert)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Albert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Jorgensen)