UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Saturday, November 10, 2012·Macau, China·9 fights
Model: 6/8(75%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Cung Le won by KO/TKO (R1)
Le 27%73% Franklin
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -388(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Le)
Light Heavyweight
Silva 70%30% Nedkov
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +650(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Nedkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Silva)
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kim 71%29% Thiago
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +185(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Kim)
LightweightMISS
Takanori Gomi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gomi 42%58% Danzig
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Danzig)
LightweightHIT
Jon Tuck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tuck 55%45% Tiequan
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +196(favors Tuck)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Tiequan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tiequan)
BantamweightHIT
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mizugaki 59%41% Hougland
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -34(favors Hougland)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Mizugaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Mizugaki)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Caceres 65%35% Tezuka
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -112(favors Tezuka)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Caceres)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lineker 75%25% Urushitani
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -161(favors Urushitani)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.2(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Urushitani)
MiddleweightHIT
Riki Fukuda won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fukuda 71%29% DeBlass
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +101(favors Fukuda)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Fukuda)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Fukuda)