UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Saturday, November 10, 2012·Macau, China
Model Record: 6/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Cung Le won by KO/TKO (R1)
Le 25%75% Franklin
STRONG
→Elo gap: -302(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Le)
Light Heavyweight
Silva 74%26% Nedkov
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +481(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Nedkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Silva)
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kim 63%37% Thiago
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Kim)
LightweightMISS
Takanori Gomi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gomi 48%52% Danzig
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -6(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Danzig)
LightweightHIT
Jon Tuck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tuck 63%37% Tiequan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +125(favors Tuck)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Tiequan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tiequan)
BantamweightHIT
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mizugaki 53%47% Hougland
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -2(favors Hougland)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Mizugaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Mizugaki)
BantamweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Caceres 59%41% Tezuka
LEAN
→Elo gap: -56(favors Tezuka)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Caceres)
FlyweightHIT
John Lineker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lineker 76%24% Urushitani
STRONG
→Elo gap: -73(favors Urushitani)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.2(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Urushitani)
MiddleweightHIT
Riki Fukuda won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fukuda 61%39% DeBlass
LEAN
→Elo gap: +46(favors Fukuda)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Fukuda)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Fukuda)