UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by KO/TKO (R2)
Struve 55%45% Miocic
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Hardy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hardy 51%49% Sadollah
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Sadollah)
BantamweightMISS
Brad Pickett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pickett 33%67% Jabouin
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -255(favors Jabouin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Pickett)
LightweightHIT
Matt Wiman won by Submission (R1)
Wiman 63%37% Sass
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -157(favors Sass)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Wiman)
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hathaway 70%30% Maguire
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +120(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Maguire)
WelterweightHIT
Che Mills won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mills 67%33% Ludwig
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +211(favors Mills)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Ludwig)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jimi Manuwa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Manuwa 37%63% Kingsbury
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Kingsbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Kingsbury)
FeatherweightMISS
Akira Corassani won by Decision - Split (R3)
Corassani 38%62% Ogle
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ogle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ogle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ogle)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tavares 66%34% Watson
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +176(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Tavares)
Catch WeightMISS
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R1)
Nelson 40%60% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Robert Peralta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Peralta 64%36% Young
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +158(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Young)