UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Saturday, September 29, 2012·Nottingham, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by KO/TKO (R2)
Struve 61%39% Miocic
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Miocic)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Hardy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hardy 51%49% Sadollah
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Sadollah)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Sadollah)
BantamweightMISS
Brad Pickett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pickett 38%62% Jabouin
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -161(favors Jabouin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Pickett)
LightweightHIT
Matt Wiman won by Submission (R1)
Wiman 67%33% Sass
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -11(favors Sass)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Wiman)
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hathaway 58%42% Maguire
LEAN
→Elo gap: +83(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Maguire)
WelterweightHIT
Che Mills won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mills 63%37% Ludwig
LEAN
→Elo gap: +152(favors Mills)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Ludwig)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jimi Manuwa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Manuwa 33%67% Kingsbury
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Kingsbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Kingsbury)
FeatherweightMISS
Akira Corassani won by Decision - Split (R3)
Corassani 35%65% Ogle
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ogle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ogle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ogle)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tavares 69%31% Watson
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Tavares)
Catch WeightMISS
Gunnar Nelson won by Submission (R1)
Nelson 45%55% Johnson
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Johnson)
FeatherweightHIT
Robert Peralta won by KO/TKO (R1)
Peralta 63%37% Young
LEAN
→Elo gap: +132(favors Peralta)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Peralta)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Young)