UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Anthony Hernandez won by KO/TKO (R5)
Hernandez 50%50% Pereira
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -133(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Pereira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.6(favors Hernandez)
BantamweightMISS
Rob Font won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Font 33%67% Phillips
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +37(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Phillips)
FlyweightHIT
Charles Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 50%50% Sumudaerji
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +359(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Johnson)
BantamweightMISS
Cameron Smotherman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smotherman 40%60% Hadley
LEAN
→Elo gap: -69(favors Hadley)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Hadley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hadley)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 74%26% Pineda
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +138(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Elkins)
FlyweightHIT
Asu Almabayev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almabayev 66%34% Nicolau
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Almabayev)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Nicolau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Almabayev)
BantamweightHIT
Jean Matsumoto won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matsumoto 78%22% Katona
STRONG
→Elo gap: +115(favors Matsumoto)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Katona)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Matsumoto)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Joselyne Edwards won by Submission (R3)
Edwards 51%49% Vidal
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +36(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Edwards)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Elise Reed won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Reed 65%35% Penne
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Reed)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Penne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Penne)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Melissa Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 52%48% Ardelean
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -34(favors Ardelean)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Ardelean)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Ardelean)
HeavyweightMISS
Austen Lane won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lane 40%60% Despaigne
LEAN
→Elo gap: -192(favors Despaigne)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Lane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Lane)