UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Friday, June 22, 2012·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/12(67%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Split (R5)
Maynard 40%60% Guida
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +166(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Maynard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Guida)
LightweightHIT
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 69%31% Fisher
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +217(favors Stout)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Fisher)
WelterweightMISS
Brian Ebersole won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ebersole 40%60% Waldburger
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Waldburger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.4(favors Waldburger)
FeatherweightMISS
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Swanson 46%54% Pearson
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Swanson)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Lamas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lamas 53%47% Hioki
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Hioki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Hioki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Lamas)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nijem 75%25% Keith
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -9(favors Keith)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Nijem)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Story 82%18% Jardine
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +369(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Story)
FeatherweightHIT
Steven Siler won by Submission (R1)
Siler 74%26% Gambino
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +295(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Siler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Siler)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Camozzi won by KO/TKO (R3)
Camozzi 62%38% Catone
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Catone)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Catone)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 83%17% Ramos
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +355(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Brown)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Miller won by Submission (R3)
Miller 60%40% Funch
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +391(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
BantamweightMISS
Ken Stone won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stone 45%55% Pague
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -28(favors Pague)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Stone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Stone)