UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Friday, June 8, 2012·Sunrise, Florida, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/12(50%)
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Main Card
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johnson 62%38% McCall
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors McCall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors McCall)
WelterweightMISS
Erick Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 47%53% Brenneman
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -125(favors Brenneman)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Brenneman)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Pyle won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pyle 49%51% Neer
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -27(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Neer)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Pyle)
BantamweightMISS
Eddie Wineland won by KO/TKO (R2)
Wineland 31%69% Jorgensen
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -270(favors Jorgensen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Jorgensen)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierce 73%27% Rocha
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +214(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Pierce)
WelterweightMISS
Seth Baczynski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Baczynski 47%53% Benoist
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +125(favors Baczynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Baczynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benoist)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Matt Grice won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grice 73%27% Garcia
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -154(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Grice)
BantamweightMISS
Dustin Pague won by Submission (R1)
Pague 37%63% Papazian
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -128(favors Papazian)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Papazian)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Papazian)
LightweightHIT
Tim Means won by KO/TKO (R1)
Means 71%29% Salas
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Salas)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Salas)
MiddleweightMISS
Buddy Roberts won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roberts 40%60% Magalhaes
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
LightweightHIT
Henry Martinez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Martinez 66%34% Magalhaes
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +24(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magalhaes)
WelterweightHIT
Sean Pierson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierson 52%48% Hecht
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +5(favors Pierson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Hecht)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pierson)