UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Saturday, May 26, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 72%28% Mir
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Mir)
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Velasquez 85%15% Silva
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +496(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.3(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.8(favors Velasquez)
HeavyweightHIT
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 67%33% Herman
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +116(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Herman)
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miocic 82%18% Rosario
STRONG
→Elo gap: +237(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Miocic)
HeavyweightMISS
Stefan Struve won by Submission (R1)
Struve 48%52% Johnson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +59(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.9(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Struve)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 67%33% Brandao
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Brandao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Brandao)
LightweightMISS
Jamie Varner won by KO/TKO (R1)
Varner 42%58% Barboza
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -287(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Barboza)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.8(favors Varner)
MiddleweightHIT
CB Dollaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dollaway 79%21% Miller
STRONG
→Elo gap: +14(favors Dollaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Dollaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Dollaway)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Hardy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardy 52%48% Ludwig
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors Hardy)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ludwig)
LightweightMISS
Paul Sass won by Submission (R1)
Sass 44%56% Volkmann
LEAN
→Elo gap: -77(favors Volkmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Volkmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Volkmann)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by Submission (R1)
Teixeira 35%65% Kingsbury
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -154(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Kingsbury)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Kingsbury)
FeatherweightHIT
Mike Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 58%42% Pineda
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -310(favors Pineda)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.7(favors Pineda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Pineda)