UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
Saturday, February 4, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗
Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Carlos Condit won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Condit 56%44% Diaz
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +341(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Condit)
HeavyweightHIT
Fabricio Werdum won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Werdum 55%45% Nelson
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -138(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nelson)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by Decision - Split (R3)
Koscheck 58%42% Pierce
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +272(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Pierce)
BantamweightHIT
Renan Barao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barao 66%34% Jorgensen
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Barao)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jorgensen)
MiddleweightMISS
Ed Herman won by Submission (R2)
Herman 49%51% Starks
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +269(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Herman)
Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Submission (R1)
Poirier 72%28% Holloway
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +406(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Poirier)
BantamweightMISS
Edwin Figueroa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Figueroa 38%62% Caceres
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +163(favors Figueroa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Caceres)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R2)
Brown 67%33% Cope
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +139(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Cope)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Brown)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by Decision - Split (R3)
Riddle 65%35% Martinez
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -7(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Riddle)
Early Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Rafael Natal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Natal 56%44% Kuiper
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +94(favors Natal)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Natal)
WelterweightMISS
Stephen Thompson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Thompson 48%52% Stittgen
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stittgen)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stittgen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stittgen)