UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Saturday, October 29, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Nick Diaz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diaz 45%55% Penn
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -415(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Diaz)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kongo 52%48% Mitrione
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -14(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Kongo)
HeavyweightHIT
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nelson 51%49% Filipovic
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Nelson)
BantamweightHIT
Scott Jorgensen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jorgensen 57%43% Curran
LEAN
→Elo gap: +215(favors Jorgensen)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Jorgensen)
FeatherweightMISS
Hatsu Hioki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hioki 46%54% Roop
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Roop)
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R1)
Cerrone 56%44% Siver
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -160(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Cerrone)
FeatherweightMISS
Bart Palaszewski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Palaszewski 44%56% Griffin
LEAN
→Elo gap: -82(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Griffin)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Brandon Vera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vera 42%58% Marshall
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +129(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Vera)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nijem 65%35% Downes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -100(favors Downes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Downes)
MiddleweightMISS
Francis Carmont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carmont 40%60% Camozzi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Camozzi)
MiddleweightMISS
Clifford Starks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Starks 41%59% Jacoby
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jacoby)