UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Saturday, October 29, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 5/11(45%)
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Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Nick Diaz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diaz 48%52% Penn
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -409(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Diaz)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kongo 61%39% Mitrione
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Kongo)
HeavyweightMISS
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nelson 49%51% Filipovic
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Nelson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Nelson)
BantamweightHIT
Scott Jorgensen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jorgensen 54%46% Curran
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +304(favors Jorgensen)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Jorgensen)
FeatherweightMISS
Hatsu Hioki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hioki 44%56% Roop
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Roop)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R1)
Cerrone 67%33% Siver
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -31(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Cerrone)
FeatherweightMISS
Bart Palaszewski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Palaszewski 44%56% Griffin
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -139(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Griffin)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Brandon Vera won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vera 55%45% Marshall
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +211(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Vera)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nijem 64%36% Downes
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -160(favors Downes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Downes)
Early Prelims
MiddleweightMISS
Francis Carmont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carmont 42%58% Camozzi
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Camozzi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Camozzi)
MiddleweightMISS
Clifford Starks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Starks 43%57% Jacoby
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Jacoby)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jacoby)