UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
Sunday, June 26, 2011·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/10(70%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kongo 70%30% Barry
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +182(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kongo)
WelterweightMISS
Charlie Brenneman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brenneman 24%76% Story
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -501(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Brenneman)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 51%49% Howard
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -149(favors Howard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Howard)
HeavyweightHIT
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mitrione 55%45% Morecraft
Over/UnderUnder 66%
Under 66%Over 34%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +286(favors Mitrione)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Mitrione)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Morecraft)
FeatherweightHIT
Tyson Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 75%25% Gamburyan
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +275(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Gamburyan)
FeatherweightMISS
Javier Vazquez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vazquez 41%59% Stevenson
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -151(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Stevenson)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R1)
Lauzon 55%45% Warburton
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +125(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Lauzon)
WelterweightMISS
Rich Attonito won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Attonito 30%70% Roberts
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -168(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Attonito)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Roberts)
Lightweight
Lentz 32%68% Oliveira
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -712(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Lentz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Lentz)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricardo Lamas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lamas 66%34% Grice
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +274(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Grice)
LightweightHIT
Michael Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 60%40% Faaloloto
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -128(favors Faaloloto)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Faaloloto)