The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 5/11(45%)
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Main Card
WelterweightMISS
Tony Ferguson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferguson 40%60% Nijem
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Nijem)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nijem)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Guida 61%39% Pettis
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +464(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Guida)
MiddleweightHIT
Ed Herman won by KO/TKO (R1)
Herman 53%47% Credeur
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -259(favors Credeur)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Credeur)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Herman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Kyle Kingsbury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kingsbury 77%23% Maldonado
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +141(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.5(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kingsbury)
WelterweightMISS
Chris Cope won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cope 49%51% O'Neil
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors O'Neil)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors O'Neil)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors O'Neil)
LightweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stephens 68%32% Downes
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +341(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Stephens)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
George Roop won by KO/TKO (R3)
Roop 49%51% Grispi
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +40(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Roop)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Grispi)
WelterweightMISS
Shamar Bailey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bailey 50%50% McGillivray
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors McGillivray)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors McGillivray)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McGillivray)
WelterweightMISS
Clay Harvison won by Decision - Split (R3)
Harvison 43%57% Edwards
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Edwards)
BantamweightMISS
Scott Jorgensen won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jorgensen 47%53% Stone
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Stone)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stone)
BantamweightHIT
Reuben Duran won by Submission (R3)
Duran 65%35% Rivera
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -102(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Duran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rivera)