The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale

Main Card

LightweightMISS

Jonathan Brookins

RK-III1022

VS

Michael Johnson

RK-I1155

Jonathan Brookins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Brookins 47%53% Johnson

Over/UnderOver 59%

Under 41%Over 59%

TOSS-UP

→Elo gap: -0(favors Johnson)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)

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Light HeavyweightHIT

Stephan Bonnar

CO-III1244

Wrestler

VS

Igor Pokrajac

UC-I791

All-Rounder

Stephan Bonnar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Bonnar 62%38% Pokrajac

Over/UnderOver 53%

Under 47%Over 53%

LEAN

Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically

→Elo gap: +49(favors Bonnar)

→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Bonnar)

→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pokrajac)

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MiddleweightHIT

Demian Maia

CO-I1506

Wrestler

VS

Kendall Grove

RK-II1085

Submission Artist

Demian Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Maia 59%41% Grove

Over/UnderUnder 54%

Under 54%Over 46%

LEAN

Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically

→Elo gap: +334(favors Maia)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Grove)

→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Maia)

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WelterweightHIT

Rick Story

CO-II1428

Wrestler

VS

Johny Hendricks

CO-III1254

Striker

Rick Story won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Story 53%47% Hendricks

Over/UnderOver 58%

Under 42%Over 58%

TOSS-UP

Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically

→Elo gap: +2(favors Story)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Hendricks)

→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Hendricks)

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FeatherweightMISS

Leonard Garcia

UC-II678

All-Rounder

VS

Nam Phan

PR-II857

Striker

Leonard Garcia won by Decision - Split (R3)

Garcia 32%68% Phan

Over/UnderOver 57%

Under 43%Over 57%

CONFIDENT

All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically

→Elo gap: +31(favors Garcia)

→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Garcia)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phan)

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LightweightHIT

Cody McKenzie

MC-III922

VS

Aaron Wilkinson

PR-II834

Cody McKenzie won by Submission (R1)

McKenzie 50%50% Wilkinson

Over/UnderUnder 51%

Under 51%Over 49%

TOSS-UP

→Elo gap: -0(favors Wilkinson)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wilkinson)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wilkinson)

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Prelims

FeatherweightMISS

Ian Loveland

PR-II842

VS

Tyler Toner

PR-I873

Ian Loveland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Loveland 47%53% Toner

Over/UnderOver 52%

Under 48%Over 52%

TOSS-UP

→Elo gap: -0(favors Toner)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Toner)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Toner)

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LightweightMISS

Kyle Watson

MC-III911

VS

Sako Chivitchian

PR-I873

Kyle Watson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Watson 38%62% Chivitchian

Over/UnderUnder 50%

Under 50%Over 50%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Chivitchian)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Chivitchian)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Chivitchian)

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BantamweightMISS

Nick Pace

PR-I893

VS

Will Campuzano

UC-II696

Nick Pace won by Submission (R3)

Pace 48%52% Campuzano

Over/UnderOver 58%

Under 42%Over 58%

TOSS-UP

→Elo gap: -0(favors Campuzano)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Campuzano)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Campuzano)

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FeatherweightHIT

Pablo Garza

MC-III916

VS

Fredson Paixao

PR-III809

Pablo Garza won by KO/TKO (R1)

Garza 61%39% Paixao

Over/UnderOver 55%

Under 45%Over 55%

LEAN

→Elo gap: -0(favors Paixao)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Paixao)

→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Paixao)

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MiddleweightHIT

David Branch

CO-III1211

VS

Rich Attonito

RK-III1065

David Branch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)

Branch 71%29% Attonito

Over/UnderOver 52%

Under 48%Over 52%

CONFIDENT

→Elo gap: -98(favors Attonito)

→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Attonito)

→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Branch)

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