UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Sean Brady won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Brady 57%43% Burns
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +38(favors Brady)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Brady)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Natalia Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 73%27% Andrade
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Silva)
FeatherweightMISS
Steve Garcia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Garcia 49%51% Nelson
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Nelson)
BantamweightHIT
Cody Durden won by Submission (R2)
Durden 66%34% Schnell
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Durden)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Schnell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Durden)
LightweightMISS
Yanal Ashmouz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ashmouz 43%57% Peek
LEAN
→Elo gap: +28(favors Ashmouz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Peek)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Peek)
LightweightHIT
Chris Padilla won by KO/TKO (R2)
Padilla 55%45% Rongzhu
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +138(favors Padilla)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Rongzhu)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.3(favors Padilla)
FeatherweightHIT
Isaac Dulgarian won by Submission (R2)
Dulgarian 73%27% Marotte
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +211(favors Dulgarian)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Marotte)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Dulgarian)
FlyweightHIT
Andre Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 56%44% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +25(favors Lima)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Lima)
FeatherweightMISS
Gabriel Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 24%76% Yizha
STRONG
→Elo gap: -56(favors Yizha)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Yizha)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jaqueline Amorim won by Submission (R1)
Amorim 66%34% Demopoulos
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +55(favors Amorim)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Demopoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Amorim)
MiddleweightMISS
Andre Petroski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petroski 42%58% Budka
LEAN
→Elo gap: +253(favors Petroski)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Petroski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Budka)
FeatherweightMISS
Nathan Fletcher won by Submission (R2)
Fletcher 46%54% Ramaska
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ramaska)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ramaska)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ramaska)