UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Saturday, August 7, 2010·Oakland, California, USA
Model Record: 10/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by Submission (R5)
Silva 74%26% Sonnen
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +357(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sonnen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Sonnen)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fitch 59%41% Alves
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Alves)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Fitch)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Submission (R3)
Guida 58%42% Anjos
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Guida)
WelterweightMISS
Matt Hughes won by Submission (R1)
Hughes 42%58% Almeida
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Almeida)
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 72%28% Nelson
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +147(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Nelson)
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by KO/TKO (R2)
Story 58%42% Hazelett
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Story)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 78%22% Wallace
STRONG
→Elo gap: +400(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.0(favors Wallace)
WelterweightHIT
Johny Hendricks won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hendricks 58%42% Brenneman
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +192(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Hendricks)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tim Boetsch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Boetsch 54%46% Brown
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +37(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Boetsch)
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by KO/TKO (R2)
Struve 69%31% Morecraft
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +86(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Struve)
WelterweightHIT
Dennis Hallman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hallman 55%45% Saunders
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -497(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Hallman)