UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Sunday, March 21, 2010·Broomfield, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jones 79%21% Vera
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +118(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Jones)
HeavyweightHIT
Junior Dos Santos won by KO/TKO (R1)
Santos 73%27% Gonzaga
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Gonzaga)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kongo 71%29% Buentello
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Buentello)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Kongo)
MiddleweightHIT
Alessio Sakara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sakara 74%26% Irvin
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Sakara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Irvin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Sakara)
LightweightHIT
Clay Guida won by Submission (R2)
Guida 70%30% Gugerty
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +189(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Guida)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Vladimir Matyushenko won by Decision - Split (R3)
Matyushenko 48%52% Marshall
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -69(favors Marshall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Marshall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Matyushenko)
LightweightMISS
Darren Elkins won by KO/TKO (R1)
Elkins 49%51% Ludwig
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -136(favors Ludwig)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ludwig)
WelterweightHIT
John Howard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Howard 67%33% Roberts
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +196(favors Howard)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Howard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Howard)
HeavyweightHIT
Brendan Schaub won by KO/TKO (R1)
Schaub 58%42% Gormley
LEAN
→Elo gap: -36(favors Gormley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Schaub)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Gormley)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierce 81%19% Paulino
STRONG
→Elo gap: +111(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Pierce)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jason Brilz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brilz 57%43% Schafer
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Brilz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Brilz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Schafer)