UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Saturday, February 20, 2010·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Velasquez 81%19% Nogueira
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +160(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Velasquez)
MiddleweightMISS
Wanderlei Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 29%71% Bisping
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -245(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Bisping)
LightweightHIT
George Sotiropoulos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sotiropoulos 60%40% Stevenson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -129(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Sotiropoulos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bader 81%19% Jardine
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +220(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Jardine)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Bader)
HeavyweightHIT
Mirko Filipovic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Filipovic 50%50% Perosh
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +190(favors Filipovic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Perosh)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Krzysztof Soszynski won by KO/TKO (R3)
Soszynski 67%33% Bonnar
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +133(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Soszynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Soszynski)
WelterweightMISS
Chris Lytle won by Submission (R1)
Lytle 38%62% Foster
LEAN
→Elo gap: +118(favors Lytle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Foster)
MiddleweightHIT
CB Dollaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dollaway 76%24% Reljic
STRONG
→Elo gap: -100(favors Reljic)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Reljic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Dollaway)
Light HeavyweightHIT
James Te Huna won by KO/TKO (R3)
Huna 57%43% Pokrajac
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pokrajac)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Pokrajac)