UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Saturday, February 20, 2010·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia·9 fights
Model: 7/9(78%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Velasquez 80%20% Nogueira
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Velasquez)
MiddleweightMISS
Wanderlei Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 28%72% Bisping
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -262(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Bisping)
LightweightHIT
George Sotiropoulos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sotiropoulos 58%42% Stevenson
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Stevenson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Sotiropoulos)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bader 82%18% Jardine
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +227(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Jardine)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Bader)
HeavyweightHIT
Mirko Filipovic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Filipovic 57%43% Perosh
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +305(favors Filipovic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Perosh)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Perosh)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Krzysztof Soszynski won by KO/TKO (R3)
Soszynski 52%48% Bonnar
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +82(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Soszynski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Soszynski)
WelterweightMISS
Chris Lytle won by Submission (R1)
Lytle 27%73% Foster
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +34(favors Lytle)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Foster)
MiddleweightHIT
CB Dollaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dollaway 75%25% Reljic
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -207(favors Reljic)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Reljic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Dollaway)
Light HeavyweightHIT
James Te Huna won by KO/TKO (R3)
Huna 55%45% Pokrajac
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pokrajac)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Pokrajac)