UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Saturday, November 21, 2009·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Forrest Griffin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Griffin 74%26% Ortiz
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Ortiz)
WelterweightMISS
Josh Koscheck won by Submission (R2)
Koscheck 41%59% Johnson
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -30(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Johnson)
WelterweightHIT
Paulo Thiago won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thiago 56%44% Volkmann
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +300(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Thiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Volkmann)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rogerio Nogueira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nogueira 37%63% Cane
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -455(favors Cane)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.4(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cane)
WelterweightHIT
Amir Sadollah won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sadollah 56%44% Baroni
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Baroni)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Baroni)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Ben Saunders won by KO/TKO (R1)
Saunders 73%27% Davis
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Davis)
MiddleweightHIT
Kendall Grove won by Submission (R1)
Grove 53%47% Rosholt
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -184(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Rosholt)
WelterweightMISS
Brian Foster won by KO/TKO (R2)
Foster 32%68% Larson
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -328(favors Larson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Larson)
Lightweight
Uno 50%50% Camoes
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Uno)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Uno)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Uno)
Early Prelims
LightweightHIT
George Sotiropoulos won by Submission (R2)
Sotiropoulos 73%27% Dent
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +371(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Sotiropoulos)