UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2
Saturday, November 21, 2009·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Forrest Griffin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Griffin 68%32% Ortiz
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Ortiz)
WelterweightMISS
Josh Koscheck won by Submission (R2)
Koscheck 28%72% Johnson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -74(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Johnson)
WelterweightHIT
Paulo Thiago won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thiago 57%43% Volkmann
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +200(favors Thiago)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Thiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Volkmann)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rogerio Nogueira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nogueira 37%63% Cane
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -316(favors Cane)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.4(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Cane)
WelterweightMISS
Amir Sadollah won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sadollah 49%51% Baroni
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +73(favors Sadollah)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Baroni)
WelterweightHIT
Ben Saunders won by KO/TKO (R1)
Saunders 72%28% Davis
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -113(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Davis)
MiddleweightHIT
Kendall Grove won by Submission (R1)
Grove 54%46% Rosholt
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -83(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Grove)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Rosholt)
WelterweightMISS
Brian Foster won by KO/TKO (R2)
Foster 41%59% Larson
LEAN
→Elo gap: -196(favors Larson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Larson)
Lightweight
Uno 48%52% Camoes
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Camoes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Uno)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Uno)
LightweightHIT
George Sotiropoulos won by Submission (R2)
Sotiropoulos 75%25% Dent
STRONG
→Elo gap: +290(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Sotiropoulos)