UFC 98: Evans vs Machida
Saturday, May 23, 2009·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by KO/TKO (R2)
Machida 60%40% Evans
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Machida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Evans)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hughes 63%37% Serra
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Serra)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Serra)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Serra)
MiddleweightHIT
Drew McFedries won by KO/TKO (R1)
McFedries 52%48% Foupa-Pokam
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +30(favors McFedries)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors McFedries)
MiddleweightMISS
Chael Sonnen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sonnen 48%52% Miller
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -285(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Miller)
LightweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edgar 67%33% Sherk
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -117(favors Sherk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Edgar)
WelterweightHIT
Brock Larson won by Submission (R1)
Larson 53%47% Pyle
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +124(favors Larson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Larson)
HeavyweightHIT
Tim Hague won by Submission (R1)
Hague 50%50% Barry
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -94(favors Barry)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Barry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Barry)
LightweightMISS
Kyle Bradley won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bradley 47%53% Nover
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -95(favors Nover)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Bradley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nover)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Krzysztof Soszynski won by KO/TKO (R1)
Soszynski 65%35% Gusmao
LEAN
→Elo gap: +272(favors Soszynski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Gusmao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Soszynski)
WelterweightHIT
Yoshiyuki Yoshida won by Submission (R1)
Yoshida 71%29% Wolff
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +165(favors Yoshida)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Yoshida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Yoshida)
LightweightHIT
George Roop won by Decision - Split (R3)
Roop 56%44% Kaplan
LEAN
→Elo gap: +43(favors Roop)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Kaplan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Kaplan)