UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Wednesday, April 1, 2009·Nashville, Tennessee, USA·11 fights
Model: 9/11(82%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗
Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Martin Kampmann won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kampmann 73%27% Condit
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +302(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Kampmann)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bader 75%25% Marrero
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +273(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Marrero)
LightweightHIT
Tyson Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 62%38% Anjos
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +435(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Anjos)
LightweightMISS
Cole Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 49%51% Browning
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -20(favors Browning)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Browning)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Browning)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 57%43% Stephens
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +165(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Tibau)
MiddleweightHIT
Ricardo Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 68%32% Horwich
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +91(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Almeida)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Brock Larson won by Submission (R1)
Larson 73%27% Sanders
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +45(favors Larson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Larson)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Credeur won by Submission (R2)
Credeur 54%46% Catone
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +203(favors Credeur)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Credeur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.3(favors Catone)
MiddleweightHIT
Jorge Rivera won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rivera 64%36% Osterneck
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -6(favors Osterneck)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.9(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Rivera)
MiddleweightHIT
Rob Kimmons won by Submission (R1)
Kimmons 68%32% Vedepo
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +45(favors Kimmons)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Vedepo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Kimmons)
MiddleweightMISS
Aaron Simpson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Simpson 43%57% McKenzie
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors McKenzie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors McKenzie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McKenzie)