UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Wednesday, April 1, 2009·Nashville, Tennessee, USA
Model Record: 10/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Martin Kampmann won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kampmann 65%35% Condit
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +231(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Kampmann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Kampmann)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bader 65%35% Marrero
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +196(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Bader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Marrero)
LightweightHIT
Tyson Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 51%49% Anjos
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +330(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Anjos)
LightweightHIT
Cole Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 53%47% Browning
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +14(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Browning)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Browning)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 55%45% Stephens
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.3(favors Tibau)
MiddleweightHIT
Ricardo Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 73%27% Horwich
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +85(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Almeida)
WelterweightHIT
Brock Larson won by Submission (R1)
Larson 74%26% Sanders
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +20(favors Larson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Larson)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Credeur won by Submission (R2)
Credeur 55%45% Catone
LEAN
→Elo gap: +138(favors Credeur)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Credeur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.3(favors Catone)
MiddleweightHIT
Jorge Rivera won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rivera 58%42% Osterneck
LEAN
→Elo gap: -12(favors Osterneck)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.9(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Rivera)
MiddleweightHIT
Rob Kimmons won by Submission (R1)
Kimmons 63%37% Vedepo
LEAN
→Elo gap: +70(favors Kimmons)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Vedepo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Kimmons)
MiddleweightMISS
Aaron Simpson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Simpson 45%55% McKenzie
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors McKenzie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors McKenzie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McKenzie)