UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Saturday, February 7, 2009·Tampa, Florida, USA·10 fights
Model: 6/10(60%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓
Main Card
LightweightMISS
Joe Lauzon won by Submission (R2)
Lauzon 43%57% Stephens
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Lauzon)
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Velasquez 84%16% Stojnic
Over/UnderUnder 68%
Under 68%Over 32%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +378(favors Velasquez)
→Striking volume advantage: +14.3(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Velasquez)
LightweightMISS
Josh Neer won by Submission (R2)
Neer 49%51% Danzig
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Neer)
WelterweightHIT
Anthony Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 64%36% Fioravanti
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Fioravanti)
LightweightHIT
Kurt Pellegrino won by Submission (R2)
Pellegrino 58%42% Emerson
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -80(favors Emerson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Emerson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Pellegrino)
MiddleweightHIT
Dan Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 78%22% Rosholt
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +261(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Miller)
Prelims
LightweightMISS
Matt Veach won by KO/TKO (R1)
Veach 35%65% Grice
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +47(favors Veach)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Grice)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Submission (R1)
Tibau 51%49% Clementi
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -94(favors Clementi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Clementi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Tibau)
MiddleweightMISS
Nick Catone won by Submission (R2)
Catone 48%52% Downey
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Downey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Downey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Downey)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riddle 69%31% Bruno
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +109(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Riddle)