UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops
Wednesday, December 10, 2008·Fayetteville, North Carolina, USA·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koscheck 63%37% Yoshida
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +188(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Koscheck)
→Takedown rate advantage: -14.9(favors Yoshida)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Swick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Swick 63%37% Goulet
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +428(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Goulet)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Steve Cantwell won by Submission (R1)
Cantwell 51%49% Al-Hassan
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Al-Hassan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Al-Hassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Al-Hassan)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Credeur won by KO/TKO (R2)
Credeur 56%44% Loughran
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +26(favors Credeur)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.8(favors Credeur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Loughran)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 59%41% Wiman
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -193(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Miller)
Catch WeightHIT
Luigi Fioravanti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fioravanti 76%24% Farber
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +269(favors Fioravanti)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.7(favors Farber)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Fioravanti)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Steve Bruno won by Submission (R2)
Bruno 54%46% Rees
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +36(favors Bruno)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Rees)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Bruno)
WelterweightHIT
Ben Saunders won by KO/TKO (R1)
Saunders 73%27% Wolff
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +235(favors Saunders)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Saunders)
LightweightMISS
Dale Hartt won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hartt 41%59% Hill
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -19(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Hill)
HeavyweightMISS
Justin McCully won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCully 39%61% Sanchez
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -40(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors McCully)