UFC 80: Rapid Fire
Saturday, January 19, 2008·Newcastle, England, United Kingdom·9 fights
Model: 5/9(56%)
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Main Card
LightweightMISS
BJ Penn won by Submission (R2)
Penn 40%60% Stevenson
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +5(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stevenson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Stevenson)
HeavyweightMISS
Fabricio Werdum won by KO/TKO (R2)
Werdum 48%52% Gonzaga
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -433(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Gonzaga)
WelterweightHIT
Marcus Davis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Davis 69%31% Liaudin
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +48(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Liaudin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Davis)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Wilson Gouveia won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gouveia 67%33% Lambert
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Lambert)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Gouveia)
MiddleweightMISS
Jorge Rivera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rivera 35%65% Grove
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -141(favors Grove)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Grove)
Prelims
HeavyweightHIT
Antoni Hardonk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hardonk 81%19% Robinson
Over/UnderUnder 69%
Under 69%Over 31%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +158(favors Hardonk)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Robinson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Robinson)
WelterweightMISS
Paul Kelly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelly 39%61% Taylor
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -92(favors Taylor)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.3(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Taylor)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alessio Sakara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sakara 80%20% Lee
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +3(favors Sakara)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.2(favors Sakara)
LightweightHIT
Sam Stout won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stout 58%42% Eklund
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -55(favors Eklund)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Eklund)