UFC 70: Nations Collide
Saturday, April 21, 2007·Manchester, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gonzaga 66%34% Filipovic
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Filipovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Gonzaga)
HeavyweightHIT
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 66%34% Werdum
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +371(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Werdum)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Michael Bisping won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bisping 79%21% Sinosic
STRONG
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +411(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Bisping)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Machida 72%28% Heath
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -69(favors Heath)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Machida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Machida)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Kongo 74%26% Silva
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +175(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Silva)
LightweightHIT
Terry Etim won by Submission (R1)
Etim 60%40% Grice
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Grice)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Grice)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Grice)
LightweightMISS
Junior Assuncao won by Submission (R2)
Assuncao 34%66% Lee
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -27(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lee)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alessio Sakara won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sakara 52%48% Valimaki
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -124(favors Valimaki)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Sakara)
WelterweightHIT
Jess Liaudin won by Submission (R1)
Liaudin 57%43% Siver
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Siver)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Siver)
WelterweightMISS
Paul Taylor won by KO/TKO (R3)
Taylor 41%59% Oliveira
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)