UFC 68: The Uprising
Saturday, March 3, 2007·Columbus, Ohio, USA·9 fights
Model: 7/9(78%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Randy Couture won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Couture 59%41% Sylvia
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Couture)
MiddleweightHIT
Martin Kampmann won by Submission (R1)
Kampmann 76%24% McFedries
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +106(favors Kampmann)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors McFedries)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors McFedries)
MiddleweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Franklin 73%27% MacDonald
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Franklin)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hughes 75%25% Lytle
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +650(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Hughes)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jason Lambert won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lambert 38%62% Sobral
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Lambert)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Sobral)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Matt Hamill won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hamill 87%13% Holman
Over/UnderUnder 73%
Under 73%Over 27%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +255(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Hamill)
WelterweightHIT
Jon Fitch won by Submission (R2)
Fitch 81%19% Fioravanti
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +304(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Fitch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Fitch)
LightweightMISS
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 48%52% Dent
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +21(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Dent)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Dent)
LightweightHIT
Jamie Varner won by Submission (R1)
Varner 79%21% Gilliam
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
STRONG
→Elo gap: -82(favors Gilliam)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Varner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +10.0(favors Varner)