UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Saturday, August 26, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·9 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightMISS
Chuck Liddell won by KO/TKO (R1)
Liddell 49%51% Sobral
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +422(favors Liddell)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Liddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Sobral)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Forrest Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 58%42% Bonnar
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Bonnar)
WelterweightHIT
Nick Diaz won by Submission (R3)
Diaz 63%37% Neer
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Diaz)
HeavyweightHIT
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kongo 72%28% Wellisch
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +154(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Kongo)
LightweightHIT
Hermes Franca won by Submission (R3)
Franca 58%42% Varner
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +192(favors Franca)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Franca)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Franca)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightMISS
Eric Schafer won by Submission (R1)
Schafer 49%51% MacDonald
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -74(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -10.1(favors MacDonald)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Wilson Gouveia won by Submission (R1)
Gouveia 82%18% Combs
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +81(favors Gouveia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Gouveia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Gouveia)
Light HeavyweightHIT
David Heath won by Submission (R1)
Heath 59%41% Walmsley
Over/UnderUnder 73%
Under 73%Over 27%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Walmsley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Walmsley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walmsley)
MiddleweightMISS
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Okami 41%59% Belcher
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Belcher)