UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Saturday, June 22, 2024·Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Model Record: 4/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Robert Whittaker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Whittaker 63%37% Aliskerov
LEAN
→Elo gap: +453(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.1(favors Aliskerov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Whittaker)
HeavyweightMISS
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkov 49%51% Pavlovich
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Pavlovich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pavlovich)
MiddleweightHIT
Kelvin Gastelum won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gastelum 67%33% Rodriguez
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Gastelum)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Gastelum)
MiddleweightHIT
Shara Magomedov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Magomedov 66%34% Trocoli
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +133(favors Magomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.5(favors Magomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Trocoli)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oezdemir 39%61% Walker
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -136(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Walker)
LightweightMISS
Nasrat Haqparast won by Decision - Split (R3)
Haqparast 44%56% Gordon
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -13(favors Gordon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Haqparast)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Gordon)
FeatherweightMISS
Felipe Lima won by Submission (R3)
Lima 36%64% Naimov
LEAN
→Elo gap: -321(favors Naimov)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Naimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Naimov)
WelterweightMISS
Rinat Fakhretdinov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Fakhretdinov 47%53% Dalby
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -107(favors Dalby)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Dalby)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Fakhretdinov)
BantamweightHIT
Muin Gafurov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gafurov 51%49% Kang
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -260(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Kang)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Gadzhiyasulov 41%59% Ribeiro
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Gadzhiyasulov)
→Striking volume advantage: -8.3(favors Ribeiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ribeiro)
BantamweightMISS
ChangHo Lee won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lee 39%61% Long
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Long)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Long)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Long)