UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Saturday, February 4, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·9 fights
Model: 7/9(78%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Chuck Liddell won by KO/TKO (R2)
Liddell 58%42% Couture
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +141(favors Liddell)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Liddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Couture)
HeavyweightHIT
Brandon Vera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vera 75%25% Eilers
Over/UnderUnder 62%
Under 62%Over 38%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +250(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Eilers)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcio Cruz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cruz 70%30% Mir
Over/UnderUnder 71%
Under 71%Over 29%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -317(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Mir)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.9(favors Mir)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Renato Sobral won by Submission (R1)
Sobral 71%29% Arsdale
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +69(favors Sobral)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Arsdale)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Sobral)
WelterweightMISS
Joe Riggs won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Riggs 38%62% Diaz
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Riggs)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Riggs)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alessio Sakara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sakara 71%29% Sinosic
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Sakara)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.6(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sinosic)
HeavyweightHIT
Paul Buentello won by KO/TKO (R2)
Buentello 74%26% Aldana
Over/UnderUnder 65%
Under 65%Over 35%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +265(favors Buentello)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Buentello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Aldana)
HeavyweightMISS
Jeff Monson won by Submission (R1)
Monson 50%50% Hinkle
Over/UnderUnder 70%
Under 70%Over 30%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -253(favors Hinkle)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Hinkle)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Hinkle)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Keith Jardine won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jardine 74%26% Whitehead
Over/UnderUnder 64%
Under 64%Over 36%
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +191(favors Jardine)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Jardine)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Whitehead)