UFC Fight Night 3
Monday, January 16, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·8 fights
Model: 6/8(75%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✗
Main Card
HeavyweightHIT
Tim Sylvia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sylvia 82%18% Silva
Over/UnderUnder 67%
Under 67%Over 33%
STRONG
→Elo gap: +289(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Sylvia)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Stephan Bonnar won by Submission (R1)
Bonnar 66%34% Irvin
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Bonnar)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Bonnar)
WelterweightHIT
Joshua Burkman won by Submission (R1)
Burkman 62%38% Fickett
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -177(favors Fickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +11.0(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +41.4(favors Burkman)
MiddleweightHIT
Chris Leben won by KO/TKO (R1)
Leben 72%28% Rivera
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +230(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Leben)
WelterweightMISS
Josh Neer won by Submission (R1)
Neer 40%60% Guillard
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -417(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Guillard)
WelterweightHIT
Duane Ludwig won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ludwig 53%47% Goulet
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Ludwig)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Goulet)
Prelims
WelterweightHIT
Spencer Fisher won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fisher 50%50% Riley
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +293(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Riley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Fisher)
WelterweightMISS
Jason Von Flue won by Submission (R3)
Flue 38%62% Karalexis
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +153(favors Flue)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Karalexis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Karalexis)