UFC 48: Payback
Saturday, June 19, 2004·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Ken Shamrock won by KO/TKO (R1)
Shamrock 56%44% Leopoldo
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +200(favors Shamrock)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Shamrock)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Leopoldo)
WelterweightMISS
Frank Trigg won by KO/TKO (R1)
Trigg 45%55% Hallman
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -128(favors Hallman)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Hallman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Trigg)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Submission (R1)
Mir 59%41% Sylvia
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -196(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: -11.3(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Mir)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Hughes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hughes 73%27% Verissimo
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +183(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Verissimo)
MiddleweightHIT
Evan Tanner won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tanner 68%32% Baroni
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +255(favors Tanner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Tanner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tanner)
LightweightHIT
Matt Serra won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Serra 64%36% Menjivar
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Serra)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Serra)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Serra)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by KO/TKO (R1)
St-Pierre 76%24% Hieron
STRONG
→Elo gap: +117(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors St-Pierre)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Prangley won by Submission (R2)
Prangley 54%46% Stout
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +85(favors Prangley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stout)