UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Saturday, March 2, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
HeavyweightMISS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R4)
Rozenstruik 44%56% Gaziev
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEANMarket: 37% (+7.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +207(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.3(favors Gaziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gaziev)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Vitor Petrino won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petrino 85%15% Pedro
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +227(favors Petrino)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Pedro)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Petrino)
FlyweightHIT
Muhammad Mokaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mokaev 93%7% Perez
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+16.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +138(favors Mokaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Mokaev)
BantamweightHIT
Umar Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 88%12% Almakhan
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 89% (-0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +573(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Nurmagomedov)
FlyweightHIT
Steve Erceg won by KO/TKO (R2)
Erceg 88%12% Schnell
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
STRONGMarket: 79% (+8.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +123(favors Erceg)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Schnell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Erceg)
MiddleweightHIT
Eryk Anders won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anders 85%15% Pickett
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 81% (+4.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +440(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Anders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Anders)
Prelims
BantamweightMISS
Vinicius Oliveira won by KO/TKO (R3)
Oliveira 40%60% Sopaj
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sopaj)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sopaj)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sopaj)
BantamweightMISS
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zahabi 30%70% Basharat
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 13% (+16.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Basharat)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Basharat)
MiddleweightHIT
Christian Leroy Duncan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Duncan 80%20% Ribeiro
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +194(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Duncan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Ribeiro)
LightweightHIT
Ludovit Klein won by KO/TKO (R1)
Klein 88%12% Cunningham
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +214(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Klein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Klein)
LightweightMISS
Loik Radzhabov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Radzhabov 39%61% Al-Selwady
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 44% (-5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -64(favors Al-Selwady)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Radzhabov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.3(favors Radzhabov)