UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Saturday, December 2, 2023·Austin, Texas, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/12(50%)
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Main Card
LightweightHIT
Arman Tsarukyan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tsarukyan 61%39% Dariush
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Tsarukyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Tsarukyan)
LightweightHIT
Jalin Turner won by KO/TKO (R1)
Turner 59%41% Green
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -162(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Turner)
BantamweightMISS
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Figueiredo 45%55% Font
Over/UnderOver 62%
Under 38%Over 62%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Figueiredo)
WelterweightHIT
Sean Brady won by Submission (R3)
Brady 58%42% Gastelum
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Brady)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Gastelum)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Brady)
LightweightHIT
Joaquim Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 57%43% Guida
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Guida)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Guida)
MiddleweightHIT
Dustin Stoltzfus won by Submission (R2)
Stoltzfus 58%42% Soriano
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -136(favors Soriano)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Soriano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Stoltzfus)
Prelims
Women's BantamweightMISS
Miesha Tate won by Submission (R3)
Tate 36%64% Avila
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +56(favors Tate)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Tate)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Tate)
MiddleweightMISS
Cody Brundage won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brundage 47%53% Reese
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -210(favors Reese)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Brundage)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Brundage)
LightweightMISS
Drakkar Klose won by KO/TKO (R1)
Klose 32%68% Solecki
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Klose)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Klose)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Solecki)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Rodolfo Bellato won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bellato 37%63% Potieria
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -99(favors Potieria)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Potieria)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Potieria)
WelterweightMISS
Jared Gooden won by Submission (R2)
Gooden 32%68% Turman
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Turman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Turman)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Veronica Hardy won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hardy 50%50% Horth
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -88(favors Horth)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Horth)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Hardy)