UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz
12-8-2
Elo 1703Champion II
All-RounderVS
Bogdan Guskov
"Hitman"
4-1-1
Elo 1594Contender I
Knockout ArtistModel Prediction
59%LEAN
Jan BlachowiczBogdan Guskov
41%59%
Market implied: 42% for Jan Blachowicz | Model edge: 0.7pp
Style Matchup
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist
Historical win rate for All-Rounder: 51%
Stat Comparison
3.5Sig Str/Min4.6
50%Str Acc56%
49%TD Acc—
58%Finish Rate100%
0.0Win Streak0.0